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National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Woodspring Stadium

Weston
4 - 0
Taunton Town

Kempster (7'), Reid (37'), Bastin (70'), Thomas (72')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the National League South clash between Weston-super-Mare and Taunton Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weston-super-Mare win with a probability of 50.96%. A win for Taunton Town had a probability of 26.53% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Weston-super-Mare win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Taunton Town win was 1-2 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weston-super-Mare would win this match.

Result
Weston-super-MareDrawTaunton Town
50.96% (-4.127 -4.13) 22.51% (0.598 0.6) 26.53% (3.522 3.52)
Both teams to score 61.68% (1.879 1.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61% (0.711 0.71)38.38% (-0.717 -0.72)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.32% (0.75 0.75)60.67% (-0.75700000000001 -0.76)
Weston-super-Mare Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.73% (-1.111 -1.11)15.27% (1.104 1.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.03% (-2.122 -2.12)43.96% (2.117 2.12)
Taunton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.79% (3.128 3.13)27.2% (-3.135 -3.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.38% (3.901 3.9)62.61% (-3.907 -3.91)
Score Analysis
    Weston-super-Mare 50.96%
    Taunton Town 26.53%
    Draw 22.5%
Weston-super-MareDrawTaunton Town
2-1 @ 9.55% (-0.24 -0.24)
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.592 -0.59)
2-0 @ 7.34% (-0.871 -0.87)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.396 -0.4)
3-0 @ 4.6% (-0.751 -0.75)
3-2 @ 3.89% (0.09 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.306 -0.31)
4-0 @ 2.16% (-0.453 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.83% (-0.03 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.06% (-0.162 -0.16)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 50.96%
1-1 @ 10.16% (0.15 0.15)
2-2 @ 6.22% (0.377 0.38)
0-0 @ 4.15% (-0.144 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.69% (0.177 0.18)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 22.5%
1-2 @ 6.62% (0.64 0.64)
0-1 @ 5.41% (0.282 0.28)
0-2 @ 3.52% (0.463 0.46)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.495 0.5)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.376 0.38)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.312 0.31)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.226 0.23)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 26.53%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Weston 0-3 Farnborough
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 1-0 Weston
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-1 Weston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 0-2 St Albans City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Weston 1-0 Dover Athletic
Saturday, March 9 at 4pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Chippenham
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Eastbourne 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 0-3 Taunton Town
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Worthing 1-3 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 2-0 Taunton Town
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South


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