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National League South | Gameweek 41
Mar 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Hardenhuish Park

Chippenham
4 - 1
Welling United

Haines (66'), Johnson (73', 89'), Owen-Evans (81')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Burchell (10')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chippenham Town and Welling United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Chippenham
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Welling United
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chippenham Town win with a probability of 40.77%. A win for Welling United had a probability of 34.95% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chippenham Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.85%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Welling United win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chippenham Town would win this match.

Result
Chippenham TownDrawWelling United
40.77% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05) 24.28% (0.012 0.01) 34.95% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Both teams to score 60.1% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.48% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)42.52% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.08% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)64.92% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Chippenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.02% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)20.98% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.26% (-0.067999999999998 -0.07)53.74% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Welling United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)23.95% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.0039999999999978 0)58.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Chippenham Town 40.77%
    Welling United 34.95%
    Draw 24.28%
Chippenham TownDrawWelling United
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-0 @ 7.85% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.13% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.19% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.78% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 1.25% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 40.77%
1-1 @ 11.21% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.26% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.55% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24.28%
1-2 @ 8.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 7.18% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.13% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 34.95%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Taunton Town 1-2 Chippenham
Wednesday, March 20 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 3-1 Worthing
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 2-1 Chippenham
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 0-1 Weston
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chippenham 2-1 Dover Athletic
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Hampton 1-1 Welling United
Tuesday, March 19 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-1 Weston
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 0-1 Welling United
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Farnborough 1-0 Welling United
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 2-2 Braintree
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Welling United 3-2 Truro City
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South


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