Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 53.81%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 23.88% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.55%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.