Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.