SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 21 | Slough Town | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 22 | Weymouth | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Bath City | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ebbsfleet | 1 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Eastbourne Borough | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Havant & Waterlooville | 1 | 2 | 3 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ebbsfleet win with a probability of 50.08%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 26.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.95%) and 0-2 (7.87%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ebbsfleet would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Weymouth | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
26.48% ( 5.8) | 23.44% ( 1.69) | 50.08% ( -7.49) |
| Both teams to score 58.33% ( 1.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.22% ( -1.47) | 42.78% ( 1.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.82% ( -1.48) | 65.18% ( 1.48) |
| Weymouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.45% ( 4.14) | 29.55% ( -4.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.43% ( 4.77) | 65.57% ( -4.77) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.8% ( -3.07) | 17.2% ( 3.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.53% ( -5.71) | 47.47% ( 5.71) |
| Score Analysis |
| Weymouth | Draw | Ebbsfleet |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( 1.14) 1-0 @ 6.2% ( 1.02)2-0 @ 3.78% ( 0.96)3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.7)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.42)3-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.51)Other @ 3.24% Total : 26.48% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.77) 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 0.46)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.32)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.43% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.32) 0-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.37)0-2 @ 7.87% ( -1.24)1-3 @ 5.63% ( -0.84)0-3 @ 4.62% ( -1.33)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 2.48% ( -0.69)0-4 @ 2.03% ( -0.88)2-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.21)Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.08% |
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