Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tonbridge Angels win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for Weymouth had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tonbridge Angels win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.46%). The likeliest Weymouth win was 1-0 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Tonbridge Angels would win this match.