SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Chelmsford City | 8 | 6 | 17 |
| 4 | Worthing | 7 | 7 | 15 |
| 5 | Braintree Town | 7 | 8 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Hemel Hempstead Town | 7 | -8 | 5 |
| 23 | Cheshunt | 7 | -10 | 3 |
| 24 | Weymouth | 7 | -10 | 2 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Worthing win with a probability of 58.69%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cheshunt had a probability of 18.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Worthing win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.52%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Cheshunt win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Worthing would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Worthing | Draw | Cheshunt |
58.69% ( -0.05) | 22.51% | 18.8% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 51.25% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.66% ( 0.07) | 47.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.44% ( 0.06) | 69.57% ( -0.06) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.2% ( 0.01) | 15.8% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.05% ( 0.01) | 44.95% ( -0.01) |
| Cheshunt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.86% ( 0.09) | 39.14% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.15% ( 0.09) | 75.85% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Worthing | Draw | Cheshunt |
| 1-0 @ 11.4% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.52% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.47% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 6.07% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.99% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.8% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.31% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.1% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 58.68% | 1-1 @ 10.7% 0-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.51% | 0-1 @ 5.8% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.45% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 18.8% |
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