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National League South | Gameweek 45
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Huish Park Stadium

Yeovil
3 - 1
Dartford

Pearson (8'), Morgan (42'), Fisher (71')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Coulson (5')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Yeovil Town and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Yeovil
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 64.94%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 15.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.81%) and 1-0 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.86%), while for a Dartford win it was 1-2 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yeovil Town would win this match.

Result
Yeovil TownDrawDartford
64.94% (-0.37400000000001 -0.37) 19.19% (0.187 0.19) 15.87% (0.182 0.18)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.53% (-0.52699999999999 -0.53)37.47% (0.521 0.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.31% (-0.566 -0.57)59.69% (0.561 0.56)
Yeovil Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.15% (-0.24900000000001 -0.25)10.85% (0.243 0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.05% (-0.548 -0.55)34.94% (0.543 0.54)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.10400000000001 -0.1)36.64% (0.099000000000004 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.57% (-0.103 -0.1)73.43% (0.097000000000008 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Yeovil Town 64.94%
    Dartford 15.87%
    Draw 19.19%
Yeovil TownDrawDartford
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 9.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
1-0 @ 8.83% (0.133 0.13)
3-1 @ 7.29% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 4.05% (-0.073 -0.07)
4-0 @ 4.03% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-2 @ 2.03% (-0.042 -0.04)
5-1 @ 1.8% (-0.051 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.79% (-0.046 -0.05)
5-2 @ 0.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 64.94%
1-1 @ 8.86% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 3.98% (0.1 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.22% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 19.19%
1-2 @ 4.45% (0.043 0.04)
0-1 @ 3.99% (0.089 0.09)
0-2 @ 2% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.65% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 15.87%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Truro City 0-2 Yeovil
Thursday, April 11 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Worthing
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 3-0 Torquay Utd
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 0-1 Yeovil
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Slough 0-0 Yeovil
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Yeovil 1-3 Chippenham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Worthing
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Havant & W'ville 1-2 Dartford
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Eastbourne
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 4-1 Dartford
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South


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