SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 19.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Dartford win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dartford |
58.32% ( 0) | 22.41% ( 0) | 19.27% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 52.4% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( -0.01) | 46.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.48% ( -0.01) | 68.52% ( 0.01) |
| Chelmsford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.46% ( -0) | 15.54% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.53% ( -0.01) | 44.47% ( 0.01) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.04% ( -0.01) | 37.97% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.27% ( -0.01) | 74.73% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelmsford City | Draw | Dartford |
| 1-0 @ 10.98% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 6.35% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.86% 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.1% 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.31% | 1-1 @ 10.63% 0-0 @ 5.9% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.4% | 0-1 @ 5.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.15% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.77% 1-3 @ 1.66% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.43% Total : 19.27% |
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