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National League South | Gameweek 42
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground

Chelmsford City
4 - 1
Dartford

Ruff (29', 83'), Alexander (41', 80')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Barzey (47')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and Dartford.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 58.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Dartford had a probability of 19.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.22%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.63%), while for a Dartford win it was 0-1 (5.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.

Result
Chelmsford CityDrawDartford
58.32% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.41% (0.0019999999999989 0) 19.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Both teams to score 52.4% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.78% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)46.22% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.48% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)68.52% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Chelmsford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)15.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.53% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)44.47% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Dartford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.04% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)37.97% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.27% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)74.73% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Chelmsford City 58.31%
    Dartford 19.27%
    Draw 22.4%
Chelmsford CityDrawDartford
1-0 @ 10.98% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.22%
2-1 @ 9.9%
3-0 @ 6.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.86%
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.1%
5-1 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 58.31%
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 0.96% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 5.15% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 2.77%
1-3 @ 1.66% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 19.27%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Taunton Town 2-3 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 3-1 Bath City
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Maidstone 2-0 Chelmsford City
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 1-4 Chelmsford City
Saturday, March 9 at 7.30pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 0-1 Worthing
Monday, March 4 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Chelmsford City 2-0 Aveley
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Truro City 0-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 26 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-1 Hemel Hemps.
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 0-2 Maidstone
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Braintree 2-0 Dartford
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League South
Last Game: Torquay Utd 4-1 Dartford
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League South
Last Game: Dartford 1-2 Aveley
Tuesday, February 27 at 7.45pm in National League South


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