SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yeovil Town win with a probability of 51.07%. A win for Worthing had a probability of 26.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yeovil Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.24%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Worthing win was 1-2 (6.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Worthing |
51.07% ( 0.11) | 22.76% ( -0.04) | 26.17% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 60.41% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.1% ( 0.1) | 39.9% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.74% ( 0.11) | 62.26% ( -0.11) |
| Yeovil Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.22% ( 0.07) | 15.78% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.08% ( 0.14) | 44.92% ( -0.14) |
| Worthing Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.73% | 28.26% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.02% ( 0) | 63.98% |
| Score Analysis |
| Yeovil Town | Draw | Worthing |
| 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.24% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.6% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.74% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.73% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.16% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.68% Total : 51.07% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.07% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.57% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 22.75% | 1-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.77% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.56% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.57% Total : 26.17% |
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