SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dartford win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Hemel Hempstead Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dartford win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Hemel Hempstead Town win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dartford | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
42.78% ( 0.28) | 25.06% ( -0.06) | 32.17% ( -0.22) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.17% ( 0.18) | 46.83% ( -0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.92% ( 0.17) | 69.08% ( -0.16) |
| Dartford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.13% ( 0.21) | 21.88% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.88% ( 0.31) | 55.12% ( -0.31) |
| Hemel Hempstead Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.34% ( -0.05) | 27.66% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.79% ( -0.06) | 63.21% ( 0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dartford | Draw | Hemel Hempstead Town |
| 1-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.99% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 4.55% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.73% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 42.78% | 1-1 @ 11.81% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.05% | 0-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.25% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.89% Total : 32.17% |
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