Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 61.72%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 16.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.33%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
