Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 50.55%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (8.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.