With the stakes having been raised, no-one should expect the flurry of goals from the semi-finals stage. Nevertheless, we cannot ignore Grimsby's resilience during their game at Wrexham, leading us to predict a narrow victory for a team who may just have the edge in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 30.48% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (7.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Solihull Moors in this match.

Result
Solihull Moors	Draw	Grimsby Town
45.58% ( -1.37)	23.94% ( 0.31)	30.48% ( 1.05)

Both teams to score 59.57% (

-0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.53% (

-0.88)

42.47% (

0.89)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.12% (

-0.89)

64.87% (

0.89)

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.15% (

-0.9)

18.84% (

0.9)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.7% (

-1.52)

50.29% (

1.52)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.4% (

0.25)

26.6% (

-0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.17% (

0.33)

61.82% (

-0.33)

Score Analysis

Solihull Moors 45.58%

Grimsby Town 30.48%

Draw 23.93%

Solihull Moors	Draw	Grimsby Town
2-1 @ 9.25% ( -0.1) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 5.14% ( -0.21) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.11) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.15) 4-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.37% Total : 45.58%	1-1 @ 11.07% ( 0.19) 2-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.01% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.93%	1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.18) 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.3) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.23) 1-3 @ 3.24% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 2.7% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.11) 1-4 @ 1.07% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.16% Total : 30.48%