Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.
