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National League | Gameweek 43
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
NC

Aldershot
3 - 1
Notts County

Ndjoli (8'), Willard (34'), Armstrong (88')
Kinsella (81'), Berkeley-Agyepong (86'), Armstrong (89')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Roberts (24' pen.)
Kelly-Evans (43'), Palmer (67'), Chicksen (78'), Francis (90+3')
Kelly-Evans (90+7')
Coverage of the National League clash between Aldershot Town and Notts County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Notts County 1-2 Grimsby Town
Monday, May 23 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 18.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.26%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.36%), while for an Aldershot Town win it was 1-0 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawNotts County
18.56%21.87%59.56%
Both teams to score 52.89%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.05%44.95%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.69%67.31%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62%38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.23%74.77%
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.3%14.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.11%42.89%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 18.56%
    Notts County 59.56%
    Draw 21.87%
Aldershot TownDrawNotts County
1-0 @ 5.41%
2-1 @ 5.01%
2-0 @ 2.62%
3-1 @ 1.62%
3-2 @ 1.55%
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 18.56%
1-1 @ 10.36%
0-0 @ 5.59%
2-2 @ 4.81%
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 21.87%
0-1 @ 10.71%
0-2 @ 10.26%
1-2 @ 9.94%
0-3 @ 6.56%
1-3 @ 6.35%
0-4 @ 3.15%
2-3 @ 3.07%
1-4 @ 3.04%
2-4 @ 1.47%
0-5 @ 1.21%
1-5 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 59.56%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Bromley 1-1 Aldershot
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 2-1 Aldershot
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Dag & Red
Monday, April 18 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Yeovil 0-2 Aldershot
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 2-1 Boreham Wood
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Aldershot 0-2 Eastleigh
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dover Athletic 0-3 Notts County
Tuesday, April 26 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Weymouth
Saturday, April 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-1 King's Lynn
Friday, April 15 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 5-1 Notts County
Saturday, April 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-3 Notts County
Saturday, April 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 1-1 Chesterfield
Saturday, March 26 at 3pm in National League


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