Having had a two-week break from action, there is an argument that Solihull could be slow out of the blocks on Sunday. However, Ardley will be satisfied that his players are well rested, and they may have more in the tank to edge this contest in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Solihull Moors win with a probability of 46.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 28.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Solihull Moors win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Solihull Moors would win this match.

Result
Solihull Moors	Draw	Chesterfield
46.42% ( 0.29)	25.18% ( 0.1)	28.4% ( -0.39)

Both teams to score 54.09% (

-0.58)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.92% (

-0.63)

49.08% (

0.63)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.84% (

-0.57)

71.15% (

0.57)

Solihull Moors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.83% (

-0.13)

21.16% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.97% (

-0.21)

54.03% (

0.21)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.61% (

-0.61)

31.39% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.24% (

-0.71)

67.76% (

0.71)

Score Analysis

Solihull Moors 46.41%

Chesterfield 28.4%

Draw 25.18%

Solihull Moors	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 10.31% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.28% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.01% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.41%	1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 4.46% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.68% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.85% Total : 28.4%