Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Weymouth win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 37.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Weymouth win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.8%) and 0-2 (5.37%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (8.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Weymouth would win this match.
