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National League | Gameweek 10
Oct 5, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Crabble Athletic Ground
AT

Dover Athletic
1 - 2
Aldershot

Cosgrove (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Willard (23'), Edser (74')
Edser (41'), Whittingham (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aldershot Town win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aldershot Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aldershot Town would win this match.

Result
Dover AthleticDrawAldershot Town
34.41%26.25%39.34%
Both teams to score 53.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.55%51.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.74%73.26%
Dover Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.5%28.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.72%64.28%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.35%25.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.45%60.55%
Score Analysis
    Dover Athletic 34.41%
    Aldershot Town 39.34%
    Draw 26.25%
Dover AthleticDrawAldershot Town
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-1 @ 7.84%
2-0 @ 5.76%
3-1 @ 3.28%
3-0 @ 2.41%
3-2 @ 2.23%
4-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 34.41%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.31%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.95%
1-2 @ 8.49%
0-2 @ 6.77%
1-3 @ 3.85%
0-3 @ 3.07%
2-3 @ 2.42%
1-4 @ 1.31%
0-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 39.34%

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