SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 38.98%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Halifax Town |
35.63% ( 0.03) | 25.39% ( -0) | 38.98% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 56.26% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.46% ( 0.02) | 47.54% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.25% ( 0.01) | 69.75% ( -0.01) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( 0.02) | 25.91% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( 0.03) | 60.9% ( -0.03) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.93% ( -0.01) | 24.07% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.65% ( -0.01) | 58.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Halifax Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.1% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.56% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 3.38% Total : 35.63% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 6.23% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.39% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.54% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.06% ( -0)0-3 @ 3% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.74% 1-4 @ 1.44% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.98% |
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