SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Altrincham |
51.5% ( 0.07) | 22.46% ( -0.03) | 26.04% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.07) | 38.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.07) | 60.88% ( -0.08) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0.05) | 15.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.24% ( 0.09) | 43.75% ( -0.1) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0) | 27.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.78% ( -0) | 63.21% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 26.04% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Chesterfield | 21 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 53 | 28 | 25 | 53 |
| 2 | Bromley | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 37 | 23 | 14 | 45 |
| 3 | Barnet | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 42 |
| 4 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 37 |
| 5 | Gateshead | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 47 | 27 | 20 | 36 |
| 6 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 38 | 36 | 2 | 36 |
| 7 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 35 |
| 8 | Rochdale | 23 | 9 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 35 | 5 | 33 |
| 9 | Halifax TownHalifax | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| 10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | 33 | 33 | 0 | 30 |
| 11 | Eastleigh | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 30 |
| 12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 22 | 8 | 3 | 11 | 36 | 42 | -6 | 27 |
| 13 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 23 | 6 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 33 | -6 | 27 |
| 14 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 26 |
| 15 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 22 | 15 | 25 |
| 16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 25 |
| 17 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 26 | 37 | -11 | 25 |
| 18 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 22 | 5 | 9 | 8 | 27 | 32 | -5 | 24 |
| 19 | York City | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 23 |
| 20 | Woking | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 30 | -6 | 22 |
| 21 | Ebbsfleet | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 22 |
| 22 | Oxford CityOxford City | 23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 34 | 46 | -12 | 21 |
| 23 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 23 | 4 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 19 |
| 24 | Fylde | 22 | 4 | 6 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 18 |
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