SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rochdale win with a probability of 51.5%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 26.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rochdale win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.91%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (6.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Rochdale would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Rochdale | Draw | Altrincham |
51.5% ( 0.07) | 22.46% ( -0.03) | 26.04% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.07) | 38.58% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.11% ( 0.07) | 60.88% ( -0.08) |
| Rochdale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.84% ( 0.05) | 15.16% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.24% ( 0.09) | 43.75% ( -0.1) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.33% ( -0) | 27.66% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.78% ( -0) | 63.21% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rochdale | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 6.03% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.88% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.83% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 3.98% Total : 51.5% | 1-1 @ 10.16% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 22.45% | 1-2 @ 6.53% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.8% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.64% 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0)Other @ 3.74% Total : 26.04% |
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