SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 46.73%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.17%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Eastleigh in this match.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
46.73% ( 0.51) | 23.59% ( -0.07) | 29.67% ( -0.45) |
| Both teams to score 60.32% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.05) | 41.27% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.33% ( 0.05) | 63.67% ( -0.05) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.09% ( 0.22) | 17.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.29% ( 0.38) | 48.71% ( -0.38) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( -0.27) | 26.53% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( -0.36) | 61.73% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Altrincham |
| 2-1 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 7.03% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.35% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.53% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.73% | 1-1 @ 10.84% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.59% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.26% Total : 29.68% |
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