Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Altrincham had a probability of 33.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.76%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Altrincham win was 1-0 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
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