Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 38.42%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-0 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
