SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 48.73%. A win for Wealdstone had a probability of 28.42% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Wealdstone win was 2-1 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
28.42% ( 0.04) | 22.85% ( -0) | 48.73% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 62.1% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.46% ( 0.05) | 38.54% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.16% ( 0.05) | 60.83% ( -0.05) |
| Wealdstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.06) | 25.97% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 0.07) | 60.99% ( -0.08) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.89% ( 0) | 16.11% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.48% ( 0.01) | 45.52% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wealdstone | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 5.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.8% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.71% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.05% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 2.35% Total : 28.42% | 1-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.34% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.94% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.76% ( 0)1-5 @ 0.95% Other @ 3.63% Total : 48.73% |
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