SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 6 | Wealdstone | 7 | 3 | 14 |
| 7 | Barnet | 7 | 3 | 13 |
| 8 | Bromley | 7 | 0 | 13 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 17 | Maidenhead United | 7 | -4 | 7 |
| 18 | Dorking Wanderers | 7 | -9 | 7 |
| 19 | Gateshead | 7 | -1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 50.94%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 26.59% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Barnet win was 2-1 (6.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
26.59% ( -1.53) | 22.47% ( -0.38) | 50.94% ( 1.91) |
| Both teams to score 61.88% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.86% ( 0.58) | 38.14% ( -0.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.59% ( 0.62) | 60.41% ( -0.62) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.96% ( -0.77) | 27.03% ( 0.76) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.6% ( -1.01) | 62.39% ( 1.01) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.88) | 15.19% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 1.63) | 43.81% ( -1.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnet | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 2-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.27) 1-0 @ 5.37% ( -0.27)2-0 @ 3.51% ( -0.26)3-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.19)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.53% ( -0.15)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.08)Other @ 3% Total : 26.59% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 6.24% ( -0.07)0-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.46% | 1-2 @ 9.54% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.24)1-3 @ 5.99% ( 0.25)0-3 @ 4.58% ( 0.28)2-3 @ 3.92% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 2.82% ( 0.2)0-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.19)2-4 @ 1.85% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.99% Total : 50.94% |
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