SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Chesterfield | 4 | 3 | 8 |
| 5 | Wrexham | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Barnet | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 2 | Wealdstone | 4 | 2 | 9 |
| 3 | Solihull Moors | 4 | 4 | 8 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Barnet had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.17%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.67%), while for a Barnet win it was 0-1 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
58.06% ( -0.02) | 22.48% ( -0.05) | 19.46% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.48% ( 0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.73% ( 0.34) | 46.27% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.44% ( 0.32) | 68.56% ( -0.32) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.36% ( 0.11) | 15.64% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.34% ( 0.2) | 44.66% ( -0.2) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( 0.28) | 37.79% ( -0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.44% ( 0.27) | 74.56% ( -0.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chesterfield | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 10.96% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.17% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.29% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.12% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.98% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 2.92% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.84% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.38% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.08% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.36% Total : 58.05% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.48% | 0-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.56% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.56% Total : 19.46% |
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