SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 22 | Gateshead | 6 | -4 | 3 |
| 23 | Scunthorpe United | 6 | -6 | 3 |
| 24 | Aldershot Town | 6 | -7 | 3 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Wrexham | 6 | 7 | 13 |
| 3 | Barnet | 6 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Wealdstone | 6 | 3 | 13 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 33.54% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
33.54% ( 0.24) | 24.74% ( -0.08) | 41.72% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.09% ( 0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( 0.41) | 44.98% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( 0.39) | 67.33% ( -0.39) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.08% ( 0.34) | 25.91% ( -0.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.09% ( 0.46) | 60.91% ( -0.46) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.41% ( 0.1) | 21.58% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.32% ( 0.15) | 54.68% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aldershot Town | Draw | Barnet |
| 2-1 @ 7.82% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.19% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.46% Total : 33.54% | 1-1 @ 11.58% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 5.59% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.74% | 1-2 @ 8.88% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.54% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 3.06% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.53% Total : 41.72% |
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