Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnet would win this match.