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National League | Gameweek 23
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Meadow Park
SU

Boreham Wood
1 - 0
Southend

Brunt (74' pen.)
Marsh (63'), Sousa (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Husin (73'), Kensdale (73')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League

We said: Boreham Wood 2-1 Southend United

Fresh off the back of ending their seven-game winless run in the league, Boreham Wood will head into the weekend with renewed confidence as they look to get their promotion race back on track. The hosts take on a Southend United side who have suffered a drop-off in form and we predict that they will build on last week's victory over Oldham Athletic and secure a slender victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boreham Wood win with a probability of 49.58%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 24.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boreham Wood win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.46%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Southend United win it was 0-1 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boreham Wood in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boreham Wood.

Result
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
49.58% (6.098 6.1) 25.9% (-0.811 -0.81) 24.52% (-5.287 -5.29)
Both teams to score 48.7% (-1.459 -1.46)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.41% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)54.59% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.07% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.93% (0.0099999999999909 0.01)
Boreham Wood Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.95% (2.855 2.86)22.05% (-2.855 -2.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.61% (4.14 4.14)55.38% (-4.141 -4.14)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.47% (-4.317 -4.32)37.52% (4.317 4.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.69% (-4.491 -4.49)74.3% (4.49 4.49)
Score Analysis
    Boreham Wood 49.57%
    Southend United 24.52%
    Draw 25.9%
Boreham WoodDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 12.5% (1.01 1.01)
2-0 @ 9.46% (1.465 1.47)
2-1 @ 9.27% (0.46 0.46)
3-0 @ 4.77% (1.062 1.06)
3-1 @ 4.67% (0.589 0.59)
3-2 @ 2.29% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.8% (0.514 0.51)
4-1 @ 1.77% (0.346 0.35)
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 49.57%
1-1 @ 12.26% (-0.41 -0.41)
0-0 @ 8.27% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-2 @ 4.54% (-0.313 -0.31)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 25.9%
0-1 @ 8.11% (-1.007 -1.01)
1-2 @ 6.01% (-0.977 -0.98)
0-2 @ 3.98% (-1.05 -1.05)
1-3 @ 1.96% (-0.604 -0.6)
2-3 @ 1.48% (-0.3 -0.3)
0-3 @ 1.3% (-0.548 -0.55)
Other @ 1.68%
Total : 24.52%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maidenhead 0-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 0-2 Boreham Wood
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Dorking
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 2-0 Scunthorpe
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Boreham Wood
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-1 Halifax
Saturday, February 18 at 5.20pm in National League
Last Game: Wrexham 1-0 Southend
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-2 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 7 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 Barnet
Friday, March 3 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Torquay Utd 1-2 Southend
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Notts County 4-0 Southend
Tuesday, February 21 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-0 Gateshead
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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