SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Gateshead had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.14%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.77%), while for a Gateshead win it was 0-1 (5.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Southend United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
57.58% ( 0.47) | 22.68% ( 0.02) | 19.74% ( -0.49) |
| Both teams to score 52.32% ( -0.87) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.28% ( -0.76) | 46.73% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.01% ( -0.72) | 68.99% ( 0.72) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.04% ( -0.11) | 15.96% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.75% ( -0.2) | 45.25% ( 0.2) |
| Gateshead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.25% ( -0.95) | 37.75% ( 0.96) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.47% ( -0.94) | 74.53% ( 0.95) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Gateshead |
| 1-0 @ 11.05% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 10.14% ( 0.25)2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.21% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 6.05% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.09)4-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.02% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 57.57% | 1-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.81% ( -0.13)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.68% | 0-1 @ 5.87% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.25% ( -0.12)0-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.57% Total : 19.74% |
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