SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 65.33%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Southend United had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.04%), while for a Southend United win it was 1-2 (4.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Wrexham would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Wrexham | Draw | Southend United |
65.33% ( -0.01) | 19.34% ( 0) | 15.33% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.01) | 39.28% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.39% ( -0.01) | 61.61% ( 0.01) |
| Wrexham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( -0) | 11.27% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.13% ( -0.01) | 35.87% ( 0.01) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.54% | 38.45% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.79% ( -0) | 75.21% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Wrexham | Draw | Southend United |
| 2-0 @ 10.32% 2-1 @ 9.87% 1-0 @ 9.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 7.52% ( -0)3-1 @ 7.18% ( -0)4-0 @ 4.1% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.92% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.87% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.71% ( -0)Other @ 4.15% Total : 65.32% | 1-1 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.72% 0-0 @ 4.33% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.34% | 1-2 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.14% ( 0)0-2 @ 1.98% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.5% 1-3 @ 1.38% Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.33% |
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