SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.79%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
43.02% ( -1.95) | 26.55% ( 0.46) | 30.43% ( 1.5) |
| Both teams to score 50.95% ( -0.6) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.31% ( -1.16) | 53.7% ( 1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.82% ( -0.98) | 75.18% ( 0.98) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.25% ( -1.46) | 24.75% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( -2.09) | 59.31% ( 2.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( 0.5) | 32.29% ( -0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( 0.56) | 68.79% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0.23)2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.32)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.29)3-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.17)Other @ 2.52% Total : 43.02% | 1-1 @ 12.61% ( 0.21) 0-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 4.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.96% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 0.52) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.36)1-3 @ 2.69% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.16)2-3 @ 1.88% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.44% |
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