Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Boreham Wood had a probability of 36.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Boreham Wood win was 0-1 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.
