We said: Salford City 2-1 Chesterfield
We are predicting Salford to show their extra quality provided by their higher-division advantage on Sunday, by recording a narrow victory over their National League opponents.
Chesterfield are on a strong run of form themselves and will be sure to make it difficult for their hosts, but with their lengthy list of absentees to contend with as well, we believe they will fall just short here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
