Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 42.72%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chesterfield in this match.
