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National League | Gameweek 40
Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Rush Green Stadium
MU

Dag & Red
4 - 1
Maidenhead

Phipps (32'), Rees (36'), Hill (85' pen.), Page (89')
Hill (5'), Appiah-Forson (61'), Page (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Abrahams (66')
Beckwith (27'), Massey (58'), Pettit (61'), Ross (68'), Abrahams (90+5')
Coverage of the National League clash between Dagenham & Redbridge and Maidenhead United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dagenham & Redbridge win with a probability of 47.14%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 28.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dagenham & Redbridge would win this match.

Result
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawMaidenhead United
47.14% (0.048999999999999 0.05) 24.82% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07) 28.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Both teams to score 54.99% (0.26000000000001 0.26)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.22% (0.33 0.33)47.78% (-0.33 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.03% (0.306 0.31)69.97% (-0.303 -0.3)
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.154 0.15)20.32% (-0.154 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.246 0.25)52.7% (-0.246 -0.25)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.02% (0.191 0.19)30.98% (-0.191 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.71% (0.222 0.22)67.29% (-0.22 -0.22)
Score Analysis
    Dagenham & Redbridge 47.13%
    Maidenhead United 28.04%
    Draw 24.82%
Dagenham & RedbridgeDrawMaidenhead United
1-0 @ 10.03% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.37% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.99% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.98% (0.029 0.03)
3-0 @ 4.25% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (0.032 0.03)
4-1 @ 1.98% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.16% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 47.13%
1-1 @ 11.75% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 6.3% (-0.087 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.49% (0.034 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.14% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.82%
0-1 @ 7.38% (-0.062 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.89% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.32% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.024 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 28.04%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Gateshead 1-0 Dag & Red
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, March 9 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 3-1 Altrincham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Dag & Red 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Bromley 2-2 Dag & Red
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 4-2 Dorking
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Fylde 4-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-3 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-2 Southend
Tuesday, February 20 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in National League


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