SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maidenhead United win with a probability of 40.15%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maidenhead United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 0-1 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maidenhead United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
40.15% ( -0.04) | 25.82% ( -0.01) | 34.02% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 54.5% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.31% ( 0.04) | 49.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.3% ( 0.04) | 71.7% ( -0.04) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.58% | 24.42% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.15% ( -0) | 58.84% ( 0) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.11% ( 0.05) | 27.88% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.5% ( 0.06) | 63.5% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Dorking Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.15% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.81% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.52% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.81% | 0-1 @ 8.7% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.83% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.55% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.84% Total : 34.02% |
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