SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Halifax Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Halifax Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Maidenhead United win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Halifax Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Halifax Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
44.26% ( 0.29) | 26.54% ( -0.13) | 29.19% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 50.35% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.82% ( 0.44) | 54.18% ( -0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.41% ( 0.37) | 75.59% ( -0.37) |
| Halifax Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( 0.34) | 24.34% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.26% ( 0.47) | 58.74% ( -0.47) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.54% ( 0.12) | 33.46% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.91% ( 0.13) | 70.09% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Halifax Town | Draw | Maidenhead United |
| 1-0 @ 11.5% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.48% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 44.26% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 8.15% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.87% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.19% |
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