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National League | Gameweek 35
Feb 20, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
York Road Stadium
SU

Maidenhead
1 - 2
Southend

Lokko (43')
Mitchell-Lawson (29'), Pettit (45+2'), Barratt (60')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Crowther (12'), Waldron (58')
Bridge (90+1')
Coverage of the National League clash between Maidenhead United and Southend United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Southend
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.03%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.

Result
Maidenhead UnitedDrawSouthend United
25.03% (-5.339 -5.34) 25.16% (-1.431 -1.43) 49.81% (6.763 6.76)
Both teams to score 51.38% (0.582 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.69% (2.562 2.56)51.31% (-2.568 -2.57)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.86% (2.195 2.2)73.13% (-2.202 -2.2)
Maidenhead United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.72% (-2.843 -2.84)35.27% (2.836 2.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.97% (-3.081 -3.08)72.02% (3.075 3.08)
Southend United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.38% (4.198 4.2)20.61% (-4.203 -4.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.83% (6.229 6.23)53.16% (-6.236 -6.24)
Score Analysis
    Maidenhead United 25.03%
    Southend United 49.81%
    Draw 25.15%
Maidenhead UnitedDrawSouthend United
1-0 @ 7.58% (-1.485 -1.49)
2-1 @ 6.24% (-0.876 -0.88)
2-0 @ 3.95% (-1.154 -1.15)
3-1 @ 2.17% (-0.503 -0.5)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.15 -0.15)
3-0 @ 1.37% (-0.544 -0.54)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 25.03%
1-1 @ 11.96% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-0 @ 7.27% (-0.778 -0.78)
2-2 @ 4.92% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 11.48% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 9.45% (0.646 0.65)
0-2 @ 9.07% (1.249 1.25)
1-3 @ 4.97% (0.885 0.89)
0-3 @ 4.77% (1.141 1.14)
2-3 @ 2.59% (0.29 0.29)
1-4 @ 1.96% (0.539 0.54)
0-4 @ 1.88% (0.619 0.62)
2-4 @ 1.02% (0.221 0.22)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 49.81%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Maidenhead 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 2-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, February 13 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Boreham Wood 1-0 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Wealdstone 0-1 Maidenhead
Tuesday, February 6 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: York City 1-1 Maidenhead
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Solihull
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oxford City 0-0 Southend
Saturday, February 17 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 York City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 0-1 Gateshead
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Chesterfield 3-0 Southend
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Eastleigh 0-1 Southend
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Southend 3-0 Halifax
Saturday, January 6 at 3pm in National League


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