SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 49.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Maidenhead United had a probability of 25.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.45%) and 0-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.96%), while for a Maidenhead United win it was 1-0 (7.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Southend United |
25.03% ( -5.34) | 25.16% ( -1.43) | 49.81% ( 6.76) |
| Both teams to score 51.38% ( 0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( 2.56) | 51.31% ( -2.57) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( 2.2) | 73.13% ( -2.2) |
| Maidenhead United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.72% ( -2.84) | 35.27% ( 2.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.97% ( -3.08) | 72.02% ( 3.08) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.38% ( 4.2) | 20.61% ( -4.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.83% ( 6.23) | 53.16% ( -6.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maidenhead United | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 7.58% ( -1.49) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.88)2-0 @ 3.95% ( -1.15)3-1 @ 2.17% ( -0.5)3-2 @ 1.71% ( -0.15)3-0 @ 1.37% ( -0.54)Other @ 2.02% Total : 25.03% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.67) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( -0.78)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.03)Other @ 1% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 11.48% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.65)0-2 @ 9.07% ( 1.25)1-3 @ 4.97% ( 0.89)0-3 @ 4.77% ( 1.14)2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.29)1-4 @ 1.96% ( 0.54)0-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.62)2-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.22)Other @ 2.6% Total : 49.81% |
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