Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 42.21%. A win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Dagenham & Redbridge win was 1-0 (9.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
Result | ||
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Southend United |
31.16% | 26.63% ( -0.02) | 42.21% ( 0.02) |
Both teams to score 51.02% ( 0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.24% ( 0.08) | 53.76% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.76% ( 0.07) | 75.24% ( -0.07) |
Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.19% ( 0.04) | 31.81% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.76% ( 0.05) | 68.24% ( -0.05) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.81% ( 0.05) | 25.19% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.08% ( 0.07) | 59.92% ( -0.07) |
Score Analysis |
Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Southend United |
1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.77% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.01% 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 31.16% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.01% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.63% | 0-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 7.62% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.5% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 42.2% |
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