SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
21.36% ( 0.06) | 23.4% ( 0.01) | 55.23% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 52.49% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.28% ( 0.04) | 47.71% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.09% ( 0.04) | 69.91% ( -0.04) |
| Dagenham & Redbridge Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( 0.09) | 36.66% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.55% ( 0.09) | 73.45% ( -0.09) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.87% ( -0.01) | 17.13% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.64% ( -0.02) | 47.35% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dagenham & Redbridge | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 6.3% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.36% | 1-1 @ 11.11% 0-0 @ 6.28% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.4% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 9.81% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.77% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 5.77% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.75% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 2.54% ( -0)0-4 @ 2.54% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 55.22% |
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