Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 55.23%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Dagenham & Redbridge had a probability of 21.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.81%) and 0-2 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Dagenham & Redbridge win it was 1-0 (6.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Chesterfield in this match.
0.06) 
-0.08) 
