SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
37.13% ( -0.32) | 26.88% ( -0.01) | 35.99% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 51.29% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.11% ( 0.06) | 53.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.65% ( 0.05) | 75.35% ( -0.05) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.96% ( -0.16) | 28.04% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( -0.2) | 63.7% ( 0.2) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.23) | 28.72% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( 0.29) | 64.55% ( -0.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Oldham Athletic | Draw | Southend United |
| 1-0 @ 10.24% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 8.12% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.51% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.76% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 37.13% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.04% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.97% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 35.98% |
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