Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 37.13%. A win for Southend United had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Southend United win was 0-1 (10.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
-0.32) 
0.33) 
