SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Southend United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Southend United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
39.02% ( 0.62) | 26.13% ( 0.28) | 34.84% ( -0.89) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( -1.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.12% ( -1.28) | 50.88% ( 1.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( -1.14) | 72.76% ( 1.14) |
| Southend United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.44% ( -0.25) | 25.56% ( 0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.57% ( -0.35) | 60.43% ( 0.35) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.04% ( -1.15) | 27.96% ( 1.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.4% ( -1.49) | 63.59% ( 1.49) |
| Score Analysis |
| Southend United | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( 0.43) 2-1 @ 8.47% ( 0.04)2-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.24)3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.15) 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.36)2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.15)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.13% | 0-1 @ 9.11% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.92% ( -0.16)0-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 3.36% ( -0.18)0-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.11)2-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.82% Total : 34.84% |
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