Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.78%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 29.75% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.99%) and 0-2 (6.94%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
