Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torquay United win with a probability of 39.21%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 34.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torquay United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.74%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Torquay United would win this match.
