SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fylde win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Dorking Wanderers had a probability of 35.22% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fylde win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 (8.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fylde would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
35.22% ( -0.33) | 24.22% ( -0.12) | 40.55% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 60.38% ( 0.39) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.83% ( 0.54) | 42.17% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.42% ( 0.53) | 64.57% ( -0.54) |
| Dorking Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.36% ( 0.07) | 23.63% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.27% ( 0.1) | 57.72% ( -0.11) |
| Fylde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.07% ( 0.44) | 20.93% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.34% ( 0.69) | 53.66% ( -0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dorking Wanderers | Draw | Fylde |
| 2-1 @ 8.05% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 7.13% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 5.15% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 3.87% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.03% Total : 35.22% | 1-1 @ 11.15% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.12)3-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 8.73% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.05)1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0.06)2-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 40.55% |
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