Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Dover Athletic had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.15%) and 0-2 (8.36%). The likeliest Dover Athletic win was 1-0 (8.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
