Notts County
3 - 2
Chesterfield

Wootton (30', 71'), Ellis (90')
Ellis (32')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Rowe (27'), Mandeville (42')
Maguire (24'), Oyeleke (32'), Gunning (65')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's National League clash between Notts County and Chesterfield, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.59%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result
Notts County	Draw	Chesterfield
41.21%	26.82%	31.97%

Both teams to score 50.73%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.74%

54.26%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.34%

75.66%

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.06%

25.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.06%

60.94%

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.5%

31.5%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.11%

67.89%

Score Analysis

Notts County 41.2%

Chesterfield 31.97%

Draw 26.81%

Notts County	Draw	Chesterfield
1-0 @ 11.02% 2-1 @ 8.59% 2-0 @ 7.44% 3-1 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 3.35% 3-2 @ 2.23% 4-1 @ 1.3% 4-0 @ 1.13% Other @ 2.27% Total : 41.2%	1-1 @ 12.73% 0-0 @ 8.17% 2-2 @ 4.96% Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.81%	0-1 @ 9.44% 1-2 @ 7.36% 0-2 @ 5.45% 1-3 @ 2.83% 0-3 @ 2.1% 2-3 @ 1.91% Other @ 2.88% Total : 31.97%