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Sunday, July 21
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National League | Gameweek 1
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Recreation Ground
C

Aldershot
0 - 2
Chesterfield


Edser (14'), Walker (72'), Harris (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rowe (72' pen.), Tshimanga (76')
King (14'), Weston (15'), Rowe (30'), Mandeville (40'), Maguire (90')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 53.8%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 23.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.46%) and 0-2 (8.67%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 2-1 (6.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Aldershot TownDrawChesterfield
23.34%22.86%53.8%
Both teams to score 56.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.88%43.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.48%65.52%
Aldershot Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.73%32.26%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.23%68.76%
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01%15.99%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.7%45.3%
Score Analysis
    Aldershot Town 23.34%
    Chesterfield 53.8%
    Draw 22.85%
Aldershot TownDrawChesterfield
2-1 @ 6.05%
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-0 @ 3.3%
3-1 @ 2.28%
3-2 @ 2.09%
3-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 23.34%
1-1 @ 10.69%
2-2 @ 5.55%
0-0 @ 5.16%
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.85%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-1 @ 9.46%
0-2 @ 8.67%
1-3 @ 5.99%
0-3 @ 5.3%
2-3 @ 3.39%
1-4 @ 2.75%
0-4 @ 2.43%
2-4 @ 1.55%
1-5 @ 1.01%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 53.8%

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