SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 41.72%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 32.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
32.01% ( 4.74) | 26.26% ( 0.92) | 41.72% ( -5.66) |
| Both teams to score 52.5% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.99% ( -1.56) | 52% ( 1.55) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.26% ( -1.36) | 73.74% ( 1.36) |
| Eastleigh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( 2.64) | 30.33% ( -2.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.49% ( 3.04) | 66.51% ( -3.04) |
| Barnet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.35% ( -3.34) | 24.65% ( 3.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.83% ( -4.92) | 59.16% ( 4.92) |
| Score Analysis |
| Eastleigh | Draw | Barnet |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 1.12) 2-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.76)2-0 @ 5.32% ( 1)3-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.49)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.52)3-2 @ 2.08% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.17% Total : 32.01% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0.44) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.45)2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.26% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.39) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0.57)0-2 @ 7.33% ( -1.07)1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.72)0-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.91)2-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.23)1-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.43)0-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.48)Other @ 2.61% Total : 41.71% |
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