Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eastleigh win with a probability of 53.84%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 23.4% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Eastleigh win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.59%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (6.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.
